Video Poker Game Odds
Video poker odds are very similar to those of regular draw poker in that the probability of receiving a particular hand is
the same. Video poker is also like straight poker in that
there are many variants found. So what are the main factors
that determine whether or not you will walk away a winner?
First, like in blackjack, you must play perfect strategy.
The strategy you would employ for a jacks or better video poker machine
is different from the strategy you would use for a deuces wild game, and so on. If you are already an avid player, and are interested in becoming
better, try picking up a book that specifically deals with
all the various video poker games found in casinos today.
Article Highlights:
Payout Ratios | Odds of Hands
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The second main factor that figures into your expectation
for winning in video poker is the game's payout schedule. This is the table
you see on machines displaying how many credits they return based
on credits bet and winning hand combination. Another important factor is the house edge in video poker. The return to player is one of the highest of all casino games. With the house edge very small to begin with, you can easily try to play for demo mode and see for yourself that the payouts are good opportunities. If you didn't already
know, just like slot machines, some video
poker games offer a much better return rate than others.
However, unlike their one-armed counterparts, it is easy to spot
which machines are high-paying thanks to the conveniently
placed pay table displayed on each game.The chart below shows
you what to look for.
Video Poker Odds Between Different Games
Full
House To Flush Ratio |
Payout |
10/7 (double bonus) |
100.2% |
9/7 |
100.7% |
9/6 |
99.5% |
8/5 |
97.3% |
7/5 |
96.3% |
6/5 |
95.2% |
While browsing the video poker choices at a casino, either land
based or online, be sure to keep an eye on the pay schedules. Here's
what to look for: on the chart to
the right, the numbers in the first column represent the payout rates for Full Houses and Flushes
at one unit bet. If you see a Jacks or Better game that shows a
Full House pays 9 units, and a Flush pays 6, then you know the return
rate for that particular game is approximately 99.5%, making it
a solid bet. Ideally, finding a machine that is 10/7 or 9/7 is the
best bet, because these machines have a payout percentage over 100.
Does that mean they actually pay out more than they take in? It's
pretty unlikely. Casinos aren't in the business of giving out more money than
they take in. Even with a mix of high and low-paying games, casino
operators know the machines that return over 100% will still make
money because not everyone who plays them is an expert. Just like
in blackjack, only a small fraction of all players is skilled enough
to play with a positive expectation of winning. Once you have mastered
the basic strategy for a type of video poker,
and find a high-paying machine, then you can expect to make money
in the long run. What does this mean? It means that after about
50,000 hands, the odds dictate that you will have hit every possible
hand combination, including the coveted royal flush. Surely, that
sounds like a lot of hands, but this game can go very quickly, especially
for experienced players. It is not uncommon for a skilled video
poker player to turn in 750 hands an hour - and even more if that
person is playing two machines at once. If the player keeps this
blazing pace up for eight hours a day, it will take just over eight
days for the player to reach an expected win of around 1,750 credits.
You can see why some people are very serious about this game - because
you really can win at it. The only drawbacks are the time commitment
required, and the potential swings in bankroll. Also, just because the
odds say you should get a royal flush every 40,390 hands doesn't
mean it's guaranteed. You could go five times that many hands and
never hit one, or get five in the first hundred hands. Both scenarios
are improbable, yet quite possible. Such is the allure of
chance. Such is the allure of video poker.
Odds Of Hands (Jacks or Better)
Hand |
Odds |
Payout
Units |
Royal Flush |
1 in 40,390 |
4,000 |
|
|
|
Straight Flush |
1 in 9,148 |
250 |
Four of a kind |
1 in 423 |
125 |
Full House |
1 in 86 |
45 |
Flush |
1 in 90 |
30 |
Straight |
1 in 89 |
20 |
Three of a kind |
1 in 13 |
15 |
Two pair |
1 in 7 |
10 |
Jacks or better |
1 in 4 |
5 |
The chart above represents the pay schedule of a 9/6 Jacks or Better
game playing the maximum five unit bet. The reason you should always
play the maximum five units because this bet is required to win
the 4,000 credit (or max) jackpot. If you got a royal flush playing
only one or two credits, the payout would not be proportionally equal,
so there is a strong incentive to always play take the five unit
bet. If five credits per hand is too steep for your bankroll, there
should be plenty of .25 credit machines for you to play. Online casinos always offer bets in multiple denominations, generally having a
range that includes .25, .50, 1, 2, 5, and sometimes even higher credit betting units.
From studying the Jacks or Better payout odds table, you may
notice an inequality between the true odds and payouts of certain
hands. Despite the fact that a full house is more likely to happen
(1 in 86) than a flush or a straight, it has a larger payout. This
goes against the grain in that the rest of the schedule is set up
to reward hands that are less likely with higher payouts. Why is
this? Again, game makers have slightly adjusted the payouts, but
in this case it actually favors the player. In terms of payout percentages,
there is a variety among video poker machines just like there is
with slots. Remember, the lower-paying 8/5 video pokers are likely
to be more common. Many land based casinos don't even feature the 9/6 variety.
And, you definitely won't see any at convenience gambling locations such as bars, strip clubs, or airports.
So be choosy. It's what will give you the positive expectation to
win and what will make playing more fun.
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